USD/JPY Finally Breaks the Long Held Range

The US Dollar (USD) extended upside movement against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Friday, increasing the price of USDJPY to more than 121.80 amid the release of some key economic releases. The pair has already broken the key range which may result in renewed bullish momentum in the short to medium term.

Technical Analysis

Yesterday the pair had corrected down to 121.51 intraday, meeting some buying interest around its 200 DMA, and ends the day also above the 100 DMA, a few pips above the largest. In the short term, the 1 hour chart shows that the technical indicators have turned lower, but hold above their mid-lines, whilst the price stands well above its 100 and 200 SMAs, in the 120.80/121.10 region.

USDJPYDaily

In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators have retreated from overbought levels before resuming their advances, whilst the moving averages are slowly advancing well below the current level, all of which supports additional gains ahead, at least, from a technical point of view.

US Initial Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims climbed to 276,000 last week.

Economists had forecast, according to Bloomberg, that the Department of Labor’s data showed first-time claims for unemployment insurance totaled 262,000 last week, up 2,000 from the prior period. The total number of claims has not topped 300,000 since March.  The four-week moving average, which evens out some of the weekly volatility, rose to 262,750.

Last week, the four-week moving average fell to 259,250, and marked yet another low since 1973. The Labor Department said no special factors impacted the data. The jobs report for October is set for release today.

Trade Idea

Considering the overall technical and fundamental outlook, buying the pair can be a good strategy if we get a daily closing above the long held range.

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Usman Ahmed

Usman Ahmed is an individual forex trader and market analyst. He holds a Masters of Business Administration (MBA) degree. His work includes fundamental and technical reports on various currency pairs, commodity futures and stock markets. His technical analysis features price action strategies.

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