LTC/USD and EOS/USD in a retracement

LTC/USD

Over the course of the last seven days, the price of Litecoin has increased by 24% as it went from $33.5 on last Thursday to $48.87 at its highest spike on last Friday but has since come down to and is currently sitting at $41.8.

On the hourly chart, we can see that the price broke out from the ascending channel on the upside with strong momentum last Friday. The wave structure implies that this is the continuation of the increase we have seen started in December last year when the price of Litecoin came up from $23.3 to $42, which has been labeled as the W wave and is the first wave out of the correction to the upside labeled as the Minor WXY.

The current increase would be the wave Y out of that count, but as you can see most likely the increase hasn’t ended as I have counted only 4 waves with the current retracement being the 4th. The price could go back to the $35.5 where the ending point of the first wave is before continuing its upward trajectory for another high above the previous one at $48. However I don’t believe that the price is going lower than the still unconfirmed minor descending trendline, which was broken on the way up which would be around $37.9.

The other possibility is that the Y wave ended as a three wave move to the upside in which case what we are currently seeing is the start of another downtrend. But judging by the wave structure and the price action I primarily think that this is a retracement before further upside.

EOS/USD

The price of EOS has also experienced an increase over the last week and came up from $2.36 to $3.04 on Friday’s high and has retraced since and is currently sitting at $2.7983, which is an overall increase of 18.31%.

On the hourly chart, we can see a similar pattern like in the case of LTC as the market is strongly correlated. The price has broken the resistance line off of the falling wedge where it was correcting from 24th of December. But it has been stopped out at the resistance found around the ascending channel’s upper line at the vicinity of the first X wave from the Minor WXYXZ correction.

Like in the case of Litecoin, the wave structure implies that another move to the upside should be expected after the current retracement ends for a higher high compared to the one labeled as the Intermediate W wave (orange). The current retracement needs to end at first so I would look out for interaction with some of the support levels potentially around 0.236 Fibonacci level before the expected 5th wave starts developing.

The price target for the mentioned 5th wave and the end of the WXY correction would be slightly higher than 0.382 Fibonacci level, but it could very well end there as the 3rd wave ended lower.

 

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader. As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that's why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

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