Gold Remains in Uptrend, Oil Could Continue Lower

Gold price is trading nicely above the $1,210 support with a bullish bias. However, crude oil price is trading lower and upsides are likely to be capped near $72.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

  • Gold price gained traction recently and traded above the $1,224 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • There is a short-term bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $1,222 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price declined recently and traded below the $72.00 and $71.20 support levels.
  • There is a bearish trend line in place with resistance at $71.40 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price started a nice upside move after forming a base near the $1,184-1,185 zone against the US Dollar. The price traded higher and broke the $1,200, $1,205 and $1,220 resistance levels.

The upside move was strong as the price even traded above the $1,224 resistance and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. The price formed a high at $1,226 and later started consolidating in a range.

Gold Price Technical Analysis Chart

At the moment, it seems like there is a short-term bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $1,222 on the hourly chart of gold. The price recently tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $1,191 low to $1,226 high.

In the short term, there could be a couple of swing moves below $1,225, but the overall price action is positive. On the upside, a break above the $1,225 and $1,226 resistance levels could open the doors for more gains towards the $1,230 level.

On the downside, below $1,218, the next major support is near the $1,210 level. It also coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $1,191 low to $1,226 high.

Overall, the price remains well positioned for more gains as long as the price is above the $1,210 support area.

Oil Price Technical Analysis

Crude oil price formed a major top near the $77.00-78.00 zone against the US Dollar. The price started a major downside correction and declined below the $75.00 and $74.20 support levels.

The downside move was strong as the price broke the $72.00 support and settled below the 50 hourly simple moving average. The decline was such that the price traded close to the $70.00 level.

Oil Price Technical Analysis Chart

A low was formed at $70.35 and the price is currently correcting higher. An initial resistance is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $74.95 high to $70.35 low.

Moreover, there is a bearish trend line in place with resistance at $71.40 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD. Above the trend line resistance, the price may test the $71.70 resistance. The most important resistance for buyers is near the $72.50 level.

Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $74.95 high to $70.35 low is also around the $72.50-60 zone.  Therefore, if the price continues to correct higher, it could face a lot of selling pressure near the $72.00 and $72.50 levels.

On the downside, the recent low of $70.35 is a short term support, below which the price could break the $70.00 support to move further into the bearish zone.

Aayush Jindal

Aayush has spent over a DECADE as a financial markets contributor and observer. He specializes in market strategies and technical analysis, comes with an IT background. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets. He is a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

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