Gold Price Broke Key Support While Oil Price Continues to Rise

Gold price faced a strong resistance near $1,235 and declined sharply. However, Crude oil price remains in an uptrend and it looks set for more gains above $70.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

  • Gold price likely formed a double top pattern near the $1,265 level against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,226 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price is following a crucial ascending channel with support at $68.80 on the hourly chart.
  • The US Durable Goods Orders in June 2018 increased 1%, less than the forecast of +3.0%.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price climbed higher this week above the $1,230 level against the US Dollar. However, the price faced a major resistance near the $1,235 level, which prevented further upsides.

There were two rejections noted around the $1,235 resistance, resulting in a downside move. There was a sharp decline and the price broke the $1,228 support. Moreover, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,226 on the hourly chart.

Gold Price Technical Analysis Chart

The price even broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $1,218 low to $1,235 high. It seems like the price formed a double top pattern near the $1,265 level. At present, it is holding the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $1,218 low to $1,235 high at $1,222.

Should there be a downside break below $1,222, the price may perhaps decline further towards the $1,218 low. Below this, there are chances of acceleration towards the $1,210 level in the near term.

On the other hand, if the price corrects higher, the previous support near $1,228 and the 50 hourly simple moving average are likely to act as resistances. Above this, the double top resistance near $1,235 could once again prevent gains.

Oil Price Technical Analysis

Crude oil price started a major uptrend from the $66.00 support zone against the US Dollar. The price traded higher and broke the $66.50, $67.00 and $68.00 resistance levels.

The price is accelerating higher and is currently trading well above the $68.50 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. More importantly, there is a crucial ascending channel formed with support at $68.80 on the hourly chart.

Oil Price Technical Analysis Chart

The price recently traded as high as $69.47 where it faced a connecting resistance trend line. It corrected lower and tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $68.52 low to $69.47 high.

On the downside, there are many supports around the $68.80 level. The 50 hourly SMA is positioned near the channel support at $68.80 to act as a strong buy zone. Therefore, if the price dips towards $68.80, it is likely to find buyers.

Should there be a break below $68.80, the price may perhaps decline further towards $68.00. To the topside, a break above the trend line resistance at $69.50 could open the doors for a push above the $70.00 level in the near term.

Recently in the US, the Durable Goods Orders report for June 2018 was released. The market was looking for a rise of 3% in the Durable Goods Orders, but the actual result was disappointing as there was a 1% rise in orders.

Aayush Jindal

Aayush has spent over a DECADE as a financial markets contributor and observer. He specializes in market strategies and technical analysis, comes with an IT background. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets. He is a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

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