Gold and Crude Oil Buyers Face Uphill Task

Gold price is correcting higher, but it is facing a major resistance near $1,248. Crude oil price is under pressure, and on the upside, there are key resistances near $70.25 and $70.70.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

  • Gold price declined this week and settled below the $1,250 support against the US Dollar.
  • There is a crucial bearish trend line formed with resistance near $1,247-48 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price is likely to face many resistances on the upside like $70.25 and $70.70.
  • China’s Trade Balance in June 2018 posted a surplus of $41.60B, well above the forecast of $27.61B.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price remained in a downtrend this week from well above the $1,260 pivot level against the US Dollar. The price declined and broke many supports such as $1,254 and $1,250.

It traded towards the $1,240 level and formed a low near $1,241. It is currently correcting higher and it already moved above the $1,244 resistance. It also broke the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $1,256 high to $1,241 low.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

However, there is a significant resistance formed near $1,248 and the 50 hourly simple moving average. There is also a crucial bearish trend line formed with resistance near $1,247-47 on the hourly chart of gold.

The trend line resistance is positioned just below the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $1,256 high to $1,241 low. Therefore, a break and close above $1,248-50 won’t be easy. If buyers succeed, the price could move back in a bullish zone towards the next resistance at $1,255.

On the flip side, if the $1,248 resistance and 50 hourly SMA continue to prevent upsides, the price may perhaps drop again and resume its downtrend. Supports on the downside are seen near $1,244 and $1,241.

Oil Price Technical Analysis

Crude oil price dropped heavily during the past three days after setting a short-term top near the $73.35 level against the US Dollar. The price declined and broke supports like $72.50, $71.00 and $70.00 to settle below the 50 hourly simple moving average.

The decline was such that the price traded close to the $68.00 level and formed a low at $68.26. Later, the price started an upside correction and moved above $69.00.

Oil Price Technical Analysis

At the moment, it is testing the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $73.35 high to $68.26 low. Above this, there are many resistances on the upside near the $70.25 level and the 50 hourly SMA.

There is also a key bearish trend line with resistance at $70.80 on the hourly chart. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $73.35 high to $68.26 low. Moreover, the 50 hourly SMA is positioned near $70.30.

Therefore, it seems like there are many hurdles for buyers above the $70.25 level up to $70.80. As long as the price is below $71.00, it remains in a downtrend. Supports are seen near $69.00 and $68.20.

Recently in China, the Trade Balance figures for June 2018 were published. The market was looking for a trade surplus of around $27.61B, but the result was positive since there was a surplus of $41.60B.

It could help gold price in gaining traction, but a break above the mentioned $1,248 resistance won’t be easy in the near term.

Aayush Jindal

Aayush has spent over a DECADE as a financial markets contributor and observer. He specializes in market strategies and technical analysis, comes with an IT background. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets. He is a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

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