The Euro (EUR) inched lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, decreasing the price of EURUSD to less than 1.1800 following some key economic events. The technical bias has however turned bullish because of a higher high in the recent upside rally.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
As of this writing, the pair is being traded near 1.1788. On the downside, a support can be noted around 1.1652 (a key horizontal support) ahead of 1.1639 (the low of the last major downside move) and then 1.1600 (the confluence of horizontal support as well as psychological number) as demonstrated in the given below chart.
On the upside, a hurdle may be noted around 1.2100 (a short-term horizontal resistance area as well as psychological number) ahead of 1.2176 (a major horizontal resistance) and then 1.2200 (the psychological number). The technical bias shall remain bullish as long as the 1.0839 support area is intact.
US Retail Sales
U.S. retail sales recorded their biggest increase in 2-1/2 years in September likely as reconstruction and clean-up efforts in areas devastated by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma boosted demand for building materials and motor vehicles.
The Commerce Department said on Friday retail sales jumped 1.6 percent last month also buoyed by a surge in receipts at services stations, which reflected higher gasoline prices after Harvey disrupted production at oil refineries in the Gulf Coast.
Last month’s increase in retail sales was the largest since March 2015. Data for August was revised to show sales slipping 0.1 percent instead of the previously reported 0.2 percent drop.
Considering the overall technical and fundamental outlook, selling the pair around current levels may be a good strategy in short to medium term.