Crude Oil Plunges Ahead of Fed Monetary Policy Announcement

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) inched lower on Wednesday, dragging the price of crude oil to less than $43 a barrel as sellers continue dominating prices. The technical bias remains bearish because of a Lower Low in the ongoing downside wave. The price of crude oil has been moving in a downward slope channel. The US Central Bank is due to announce its monetary policy today.

Technical Analysis

As of this writing, WTI is being traded near $42.91 a barrel. A hurdle may be noted near $43.49, the horizontal resistance area ahead of $44.80 which is the confluence of a trendline resistance as well as the horizontal resistance levels. A break and daily closing above the $44.80 resistance area might incite a renewed buying interest, validating a rally towards the $52.06, the high of the latest major upside rally.


On the downside, the price of crude oil is likely to find a support near $42.55, the horizontal support. A break and daily closing below the $42.55 support area will open doors for deeper correction towards the $40.00 milestone. The technical bias will remain bearish as long as the $50.27 resistance area is intact.

Fundamental outlook for crude oil remains positive as the recent Brexit vote in Britian has put the interest rate hike by Federal Reserve off the table for at least next few months. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision today. Not to mention a surprise rate hike by the Central Bank may cause strong selling pressure in the price of crude oil.

Trade Idea

Considering the overall technical outlook, buying Crude Oil upon the emergence of a valid bullish reversal candle appears to be a good strategy in short to medium term.'
Usman Ahmed

Usman Ahmed is an individual forex trader and market analyst. He holds a Masters of Business Administration (MBA) degree. His work includes fundamental and technical reports on various currency pairs, commodity futures and stock markets. His technical analysis features price action strategies.

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