Crude Oil Dips to 13-Year Low As EU Lifts Iran Sanctions

The price of crude oil dipped to the lowest level since 2003 on Monday, dragging the black gold to less than $29 a barrel after the landmark nuclear deal between the world powers and Iran during weekend. The technical bias remains extremely bearish because of a Lower Low in the ongoing downside move.

Technical Analysis

As of this writing, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures are being traded around 28.78. A support may be noted near $25.04, the swing low of 31st March 2003 ahead of $16.70, the low of 2001. A break and daily closing below the $16.70 support area could incite renewed selling pressure towards the $10 zone.

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On the upside, the black gold is expected to face a hurdle near $30, the psychological number ahead of $32.40, the horizontal resistance and then $50.90, the swing high of the last major upside rally.

EU Lifts Iran Sanctions

The European Union on Saturday lifted its economic sanctions against Iran after the UN atomic watchdog announced that Tehran had complied with the terms of last July’s landmark deal aimed at scaling down its nuclear programme. The lifting of the sanctions came into effect late Saturday after the decision was published in the bloc’s Official Journal, less than an hour after the move was formally adopted by all 28 member states.

A total of 92 Iranians and 466 companies or groups, including the Iranian central bank, were affected by the EU sanctions. Some sanctions, not linked to the accord, will remain in place however, including European sanctions linked to human rights and US sanctions linked to terrorism.

Trade Idea

Considering the overall technical and fundamental outlook, buying the black gold around current levels could be a good strategy if we get a valid bullish reversal candle on the daily chart.

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Usman Ahmed

Usman Ahmed is an individual forex trader and market analyst. He holds a Masters of Business Administration (MBA) degree. His work includes fundamental and technical reports on various currency pairs, commodity futures and stock markets. His technical analysis features price action strategies.

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