BTC/USD and XRP/USD in a sideways movement

BTC/USD

From January 1st when the price of Bitcoin was $3797 at its lowest the cryptocurrency price has increased. BTC/USD is currently trading at around $4140 which is an increase of 9%. The price went further up since the start of the year and was $4218 at its highest point so far on Sunday.

On the hourly chart, the price action has created a triangle, and the price has broken out from it on Sunday when it reached $4218 making it the yearly high so far. The BTC/USD pair broke the horizontal resistance at around $4000 as well a minor one at $4081 (the prior two highs level). The BTC price also broke the descending channel formed since the price reached the bold black line. As the cryptocurrency moved close to the black bold line, the significant downtrend support, it’s likely going to retest the level from the downside again.

The price is in an upward trajectory again. The pair is checking if the second horizontal resistance (purple line) is strong enough to withhold the momentum as it did last time when the price interacted with the level but bounced and pushed the price down for a retracement. I have labeled the current price action structure as the X wave. The second corrective wave from the WXY correction will likely develop after an impulsive move to the upside.

After it ends, a pullback is expected. The Y wave should start developing which means that more downside is expected from the current levels. According to RSI, the price strength is above mid range which means that the price could go either up or down from here. This fits perfectly with my Elliott Wave count as the expected short-term price action movement is likely going to be sideways for a while now.

Projecting the W wavelength from the current level we come up with the target price of around $3540. The price might get lower than that as it might go all the way down to the horizontal support at $3367 for a retest.

XRP/USD

On January 1st the price of Ripple was $0.35873 at its lowest point. Since then the price was in a sideways movement and has gone up to $0.39105 at its highest point so far. Afterward, the Ripple fell to the year’s low again. This continued on for another time when the price again started increasing but it came up slightly lower than the last time, coming to $0.38418 before going down again.

On the hourly chart, the price action has formed a symmetrical triangle and judging by Elliott Wave count we are going to see a breakout from the downside as the current corrective wave ends on the upside. This might not happen straight away since another correction might take place. But even if it did I would expect it to go to the horizontal support level at $0.35382 which is the lower line from the support range the price is currently trading at.

The XRP/USD price is also in a descending channel since September 21st so I am looking for an interaction with the outline levels again. The current market conditions show us that we are going to see an interaction with the upper levels before another depreciation in price and further downside.

Thus, we are most likely going to see a minor retracement to the lower horizontal support level. After that, another increase is expected to the upper bold black line which is the descending channels resistance line. Then a rejection will occur and we are going to see further downside for the price of Ripple.

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader. As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that's why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

More Posts

By with No Comments 0 306