BTC/USD and XRP/USD – Bullish Correction Ended



Over the weekend the price of Bitcoin has continued its bullish trajectory as another increase was made of around 6.69% and the price of Bitcoin increased from $3994.4 on Friday’s low to around $4260 on Sunday’s highest point. But since the price came to those levels it started falling down fast and came to $3831 at its lowest point yesterday, which was a decrease of 10.16%. The price is currently sitting at $3890, slightly higher than its lowest point yesterday, but also slightly lower than its highest point at $3962.

Looking at the hourly chart, we can see that the price has interacted with the baseline support (bold black line) on yesterday’s low. It was the most significant resistance point to the upside and is the most significant support line from the start of the bear market. The price action created an ascending channel, which could likely end as a retest of the $3994.4 horizontal resistance level. It was broken on the yesterday’s decrease.

The 5 wave impulse ended, so did the Intermediate wave Y from the WXY correction that started around 15th of December last year. This downfall was expected and considering the power behind the sellers’ momentum, we could very likely be seeing the start of the trend continuation as the correction to the upside ended. This will soon be validated as the price of Bitcoin could start decreasing again. And considering the price context this ascending channel would most likely serve as consolidation before another downfall below the bold black line.

We could see the WXY correction prolongation where more sideways movement could occur with a potential increase at the ends on the Z wave. But considering the momentum shown yesterday, I don’t believe that is likely to happen.


From Friday’s low at $0.32225 the price of Ripple has increased at first by 8.58% as came up to $0.3496 at its highest point on Sunday. But like in the case of Bitcoin when the increase ended the price started falling down fast with a 13% drop as it came to $0.3042 at its lowest point yesterday.

Looking at the hourly chart, you can see that from yesterday’s low the price increased again with strong momentum of around 12.77% to the upside and came to $0.34362 at its highest point yesterday. But another descending structure started forming and the price is currently searching for support at around 0.236 Fibonacci level.

Like in the case of Bitcoin my primary count on the chart of Ripple is that the Intermediate Y wave ended as I have counted 5 waves. So if this is true we are seeing the start of a trend continuation to the downside out of which the yesterday’s increase could be the second wave, which came slightly below the beginning point of the potential first wave to the downside.

This could be another minor correction and a prolongation of the previous one where we could see further correctional movements. But since yesterday’s increase hasn’t in any way negatively impacted my projection, the primary count still stands.



Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader. As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that's why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

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