Bitcoin Rallies Into Segwit Lock

Bitcoin prices are up close to 24 percent since our Tuesday update. Litecoin is up as well but only by $1.98 dollars or just under 5 percent.

Bitcoin Rallies 24 Percent

Bitcoin prices rallied close to 24 percent in a week. The main driver for the gains seems to be the Segwit lock, expected to happen later today. Current projections set the lock at 25 blocks from now, around 17:46 GMT.

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The ‘lock in’, just like the name says, is when Segwit gets locked in. Two weeks from this date the Segwit part of the Segwit2x upgrade becomes active. More on the technical details about Segwit2x HERE.

Today could produce some violent swings, similar to what we saw during the BIP91 activation a few weeks ago. It appears that some traders are already booking profits before the lock is final, fearing a similar decline. Looking at bitcoin from the daily charts however allows us to avoid some of this noise.

We are currently trading near all-time highs at $3,383, down from $3,491 this morning. Support below here can be found at the round $3,000 figure, closely followed by the $2,892 swing high and the $2,597 swing low. A decisive break below here would end the current bullish trend. Further down we have more support at $2,400, $2,000 and $1,812 dollars per coin. A break below $2,200 would start a new BTC downtrend. On the long-term weekly and monthly charts, BTC/USD is in rally mode as well.

Litecoin Hits Resistance

Litecoin tried to follow big brother bitcoin higher but quickly hit a resistance level. Last week we hinted at $46.70 as a point where a new rally could begin. Unfortunately for the bulls, the break of this level was weak as we only hit a high of $47.22 before falling back.

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Now we’re looking for a break of the new high ($47.22) as a potential trend starter. As usual, we’re looking for a sustained move above this level, not just a brief and shallow spike. Resistance higher up can be found at the $50 round figure, followed by the $51.27 and $53.87 swing highs. A break of the $53.87 all-time high could extend the move higher.

On the lower end, the bears will need a break below the $38.11 swing low. A clean move below here could start a new downtrend in prices. Support below here can be found at the $35.45 swing low, closely followed by the $35 round figure and the $34.42 swing low. A move below this support area would clear the way for more LTC losses. Despite the muddled picture on the daily, on the longer-term charts, Litecoin is still looking bullish.

Petar Kotevski

Petar is a forex trader and writer with 9 years of experience in financial markets. He has been following bitcoin since 2010. A year ago, as the BTC market matured, he started getting more involved by writing articles on bitcoin and other alternative currencies.

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