AUD/USD and NZD/USD Signaling Bearish Bias, NFP Next

AUD/USD declined sharply below 0.7380 to move into a bearish zone. Similarly, NZD/USD is under a lot of pressure below the 0.6750 resistance.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

  • The Aussie Dollar declined continuously and settled below 0.7380 against the US Dollar.
  • There is a major bearish trend line formed with resistance near 0.7375 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
  • NZD/USD is under heavy selling pressure as it settled below the 0.6750 support.
  • July 2018 NFP release is scheduled today, which could spark more downsides in AUD/USD and NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

The Aussie Dollar formed a top near the 0.7440 level and started a downside move against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair declined steadily and broke many supports such as 0.7400, 0.7380 and 0.7370.

The pair even broke the 0.7360 support and traded as low as 0.7355. Buyers appeared and later the pair started consolidating in a range above the 0.7355 low. It traded above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the 0.7411 high to 0.7355 low.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis Aussie Dollar Chart

However, upsides were capped near the 0.7380 level, which was a support earlier. Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the 0.7411 high to 0.7355 low also acted as a barrier for buyers.

At the outset, there is a major bearish trend line formed with resistance near 0.7375 on the hourly chart. A break above the trend line and then 0.7380 is needed for more recoveries in the near term. The next resistance above 0.7380 is near 0.7390 and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

On the other hand, if the pair fails to recover above 0.7380, it could decline further. Should there be a break below the 0.7355 low, AUD/USD may perhaps accelerate losses towards the 0.7320 level in the near term.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis

The New Zealand Dollar declined heavily after it broke the 0.6785 support area against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair tumbled and broke the 0.6760 and 0.6750 support levels to move into a bearish zone.

The pair traded as low as 0.6724 and it is currently correcting higher. At the moment, the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6763 high to 0.6724 low is acting as a resistance.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis Kiwi Dollar Chart

However, the most important resistance on the upside near the 0.6750 level, which was a support earlier. Moreover, there is a key bearish trend line in place with resistance at 0.6760 on the hourly chart.

An intermediate resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6763 high to 0.6724 low at 0.6743. Therefore, if the pair corrects higher, it is likely to face many hurdles near the 0.6750 and 0.6760 levels.

On the downside, the recent low near 0.6724 is a short term support. Should there be a break below this, the pair will most likely test the 0.6700 support. Any further declines could take NZD/USD towards the 0.6660 level.

Fundamentally, the July 2018 nonfarm payrolls report will be released in the US today. The forecast is slated for a rise of 190K in jobs, less than the last 213K. If the actual beats the forecast, pairs like EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/USD and NZD/USD may possibly extend declines.

Aayush Jindal

Aayush has spent over a DECADE as a financial markets contributor and observer. He specializes in market strategies and technical analysis, comes with an IT background. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets. He is a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

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